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Four Futures for Jobs in the New Economy: AI and Talent in 2030

Four Futures for Jobs in the New Economy: AI and Talent in 2030

This scenario paper explores how the interaction between AI advancement and workforce readiness could shape jobs by 2030. It presents four futures: Supercharged Progress, where strong AI capability meets broad readiness; The Age of Displacement, where AI outpaces workforce adaptation; Co-Pilot Economy, where gradual AI progress supports augmentation; and Stalled Progress, where weak skill formation limits gains and deepens inequality. The paper stresses that the future of work will be determined not by technology alone but by talent strategies, institutional preparedness, and human capital investment. It highlights “no-regret” actions for business, including aligning technology and talent strategies, investing in human-AI collaboration, strengthening data governance, anticipating skill nee

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